Analysis

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While Iran seeks to end the war, deadlocked talks and the renewed threat of conflict could push Tehran to deploy previously untapped leverage: the Bab al-Mandab
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Long a trusted intermediary that maintained its neutrality during the Iran war, Oman has been thrust into the diplomatic spotlight by Trump's recent threats
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The key benchmark is whether armed groups in Iraq, regardless of loyalties or ideology, operate under the authority of the state rather than alongside it
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Analysis: Al-Aqsa is a focal point for Israel's empowered far right, whose push to upend the sensitive status quo could have consequences far beyond Jerusalem
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Analysis: As US-Iran diplomacy hangs in the balance, Lebanon risks becoming collateral damage in a bargain shaped by outside powers
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In the first step towards shifting aid further into the shadows, Congress is advancing a plan to bind the US and Israeli militaries closer together
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With no endgame and elections looming, ordering the seizure of 70% of Gaza puts pressure on Hamas while managing Netanyahu's domestic political pressures
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Analysis: Long empowered by Tehran with advanced drone capabilities, Iraqi militias are creating a dilemma for Baghdad as regional pressure grows
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Analysis: While any diplomatic breakthrough could reduce the risk of immediate war, it is unlikely to resolve the underlying forces driving regional instability
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With few war goals achieved in Gaza, targeted killings change little strategically but send a political message to the Israeli public ahead of elections