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Analysis: As Mojtaba Khamenei consolidates his authority, rival factions are vying for influence in a struggle that could determine Iran's future

 Iraqi Prime Minister Ali al-Zaidi is welcomed by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian with official ceremony in Tehran, Iran on July 23, 2026.
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A Yemen's Houthi fighter stands next to a billboard depicting the Iranian forces launching missile attacks, during a demonstration staged to show solidarity with Iran on April 3, 2026 in Sana'a, Yemen
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A shipyard damaged in a US strike is seen in Iran's Hormozgan province, 19 July 2026. [Getty]
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	IRGC Rally In Iran on January 10, 2025. (Photo by Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
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Ahmadinejad - Getty
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Satellite view of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait is a vital trade route linking the Red Sea, Gulf of Aden, Arabian Sea, Suez Canal, and Mediterranean. Its stability is central to global shipping, energy markets, and international commerce. [Getty]
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Pro-government supporters gather in front of a portrait of Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei during a nightly rally in Tehran, Iran, on July 12, 2026.
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Military members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) prepare to participate in a pro-government rally in Azadi Square
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People hold up a revenge banner against US President Donald Trump as they gather to mourn Iran's slain supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei during the funeral ceremonies at the Grand Mosalla in Tehran on July 5, 2026.
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