Israel parliament dissolves, sparking fourth election in two years

The coalition led by Netanyahu and his former election rival, Defence Minister Benny Gantz, had been inching towards collapse for weeks, undermined by mutual acrimony and mistrust. 

The dissolution of parliament, the Knesset, could see elections held as early as March 23, likely forcing Netanyahu to seek re-election while the coronavirus pandemic is still raging and as his long-awaited corruption trial intensifies.

The coalition headed by Netanyahu's right-wing Likud and Gantz's centrist Blue and White party had until midnight to pass a 2020 budget.

Failure to do so legally forces parliament's dissolution, Knesset spokesman Uri Michael told AFP on Tuesday. 

The deadline's expiration marks the end of a troubled political marriage between Netanyahu and Gantz, who faced off in three inconclusive elections in April and September of 2019 and again in March. 

Budget battle

They agreed to form a so-called unity government in April. 

Gantz has said he never trusted Netanyahu, but wanted to spare Israelis a fourth election, especially as the pandemic was gathering pace. 

The three-year coalition deal had stipulated that Netanyahu serves as premier for 18 months, with Gantz taking over in November 2021.

Gantz demanded the government pass a budget covering both 2020 and 2021, arguing Israel, and the coalition, needed stability. 

But Netanyahu refused to endorse a 2021 budget.

That, his critics said, was a political tactic to keep the coalition unstable, making it easier for him to sink the government before he had to yield power to Gantz.

"The reason we're heading to an election is because Netanyahu refused to pass a budget as required by law and honour political agreements so that he can remain in power for the duration of his trial," said Yohanan Plesner, the head of the Israel Democracy Institute think-tank. 

Late Sunday, Blue and White said it had an agreement with Likud on a bill to buy more time to pass the budget. 

But the Knesset rejected that bill on Tuesday, following yet another round of bitter back-and-fourth between Netanyahu and Gantz.  

Lawmakers from Likud and Blue and White both voted against the coalition proposal.

Gantz, currently in precautionary coronavirus quarantine, was unable to vote.

'Risk all around'

Both Netanyahu and Gantz face substantial political risks in new elections, especially if held in March.  

Political commentators have said Netanyahu always planned to force an election before vacating the premier's office for Gantz, but would have preferred a vote date in June or later. 

That would have allowed more time to vaccinate the public against the novel coronavirus and hopefully push Israel's economy towards recovery. 

A March election would compel Netanyahu to campaign in February, when he is due to appear in court multiple times a week for his trial on charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.

He is accused of accepting improper gifts and seeking to trade favours with media moguls in exchange for positive coverage, but denies wrongdoing.

Netanyahu also faces a new challenge from influential right-winger Gideon Saar, who has left Likud to form his own New Hope party.

Multiple polls suggest Saar could peel significant support away from Netanyahu if elections were held soon.

Netanyahu is expected to highlight recent achievements including a series of US-brokered normalisation agreements with former Arab rival states. 

But he will no longer be able to boast of his ironclad alliance with outgoing President Donald Trump. 

Meanwhile, Gantz's political fortunes have plummeted.

Blue and White fractured when made a deal with Netanyahu and recent polls suggest the party would win only a handful of seats if elections were held soon. 

Gantz's former ally, Yair Lapid of the Yesh Atid, became the opposition leader in parliament, but voter surveys indicate Lapid would struggle to form a government. 

Overall, prospects for left of centre parties appear dim, possibly complicating any attempt by President-elect Joe Biden's administration to renew Israeli engagement with the Palestinians. 

"We enter this election with a clear advantage in polls for the political right," Plesner of the IDI said, while stressing "the growing possibility" that a right-wing camp emerges that refuses to accept Netanyahu as prime minister.

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