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Giorgio Cafiero

Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

Analysis: Israel has waged a campaign of destabilisation and destruction in Syria since the fall of the Assad regime.

14 April, 2025

Analysis: As IDF escalates bombing and US pressures Lebanon to hold talks over territories held by Israel, Giorgio Cafiero charts the pathways ahead for Beirut

26 March, 2025

Analysis: Trump's US strikes on Yemen's Houthis mark a major escalation, aiming to deter maritime attacks and pressure Iran.

19 March, 2025

Analysis: Turkey and Israel are the two main players to fill power vacuums in post-Assad Syria, and friction between Ankara and Tel Aviv is intensifying.

11 March, 2025

Iraq has extremely high stakes in Syria as it seeks to adapt to the post-Assad era by balancing internal politics and external regional pressures.

05 March, 2025

Analysis: Amid regional turmoil from Israeli expansionism, will the new governments in Syria and Lebanon manage to overcome historic divisions and start fresh?

28 February, 2025

Analysis: Trump's volatility adds uncertainty to the US role in regional stability, with Gulf states likely to recalibrate partnerships beyond Washington.

18 February, 2025

Analysis: From revamping the economy to political, military, and bureaucratic capacity building, Turkey will have a key influence in shaping the new Syria.

11 February, 2025

Analysis: Trump's administration is divided between hawkish neocons and 'restrainers', but which group will have the most influence on US Middle East policy?

28 January, 2025

Analysis: Trump is eyeing the grand prize of Israel-Saudi normalisation, but after the Gaza war and shifting regional dynamics, the chances are remote.

21 January, 2025