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Giorgio Cafiero

Cafiero

Giorgio Cafiero is the CEO of Gulf State Analytics. Follow him on Twitter: @GiorgioCafiero

As Israeli political elites increasingly frame Turkey the way they once framed Iran, could Ankara and Tel Aviv's rivalry become the Middle East's new faultline?

14 May, 2026

Beyond the immediate implications for oil markets, the UAE's OPEC exit underscores a broader geopolitical shift amid a widening rivalry with Saudi Arabia

04 May, 2026

Analysis: A fragile ceasefire has frozen the conflict without resolving it, leaving the US and Iran trapped in a dangerous limbo vulnerable to miscalculation

28 April, 2026

China has turned the war on Iran into an opportunity to advance national interests, promote a multipolar world, and assert its position as a global power

22 April, 2026

With no clear victor, the Iran war has accelerated a shift in Middle East geopolitics, weakening old assumptions about power, deterrence, and security

15 April, 2026

Analysis: The US-Israeli war on Iran, perhaps more than any other issue, will test the cohesion and durability of Trump's MAGA movement

08 April, 2026

Having sought to avert the war, Turkey now finds itself in the middle of it, with deep concerns about economic shocks, security spillover, and regional chaos

31 March, 2026

While the US seeks to contain Iran and protect energy markets, Israel is pursuing a scorched-earth policy to collapse the regime, complicating how the war ends

28 March, 2026

For Gulf states, the war has reinforced both the threat posed by Iran and the risks of depending on the United States as a security guarantor

17 March, 2026

While condemning the war, China and Russia have refrained from providing military support, reflecting the limitations of their strategic partnerships with Iran

10 March, 2026