Kayhan Valadbaygi is a Research Fellow at the International Institute of Social History (IISH) in Amsterdam and CEO of Middle East Risk & Reform Advisory.
The US–Iran truce is a fragile pause, driven by rising costs and strategic pressure around Hormuz in a war with no clear endgame, argues Kayhan Valadbaygi.
A Venezuela-style regime change in Iran misreads its power structure and risks sparking a prolonged, destabilising regional war, argues Kayhan Valadbaygi.
US military posturing aims to pressure Iran, not spark war. Despite Trump’s threats, containing China is Washington’s priority, writes Kayhan Valadbaygi.
