Iran's Syria death toll provokes debate back home

Iran's Syria death toll provokes debate back home
4 min read
03 November, 2015
Feature: As the number of Iranian soldiers killed in Syria rises, Tehran's continuing propping up of Bashar al-Assad’s regime has become a subject of public debate, reports Arthur Macmillan.
Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corp has lost several of its best-known generals in Syria [Getty]
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A sharp increase in the number of Iranian military officers killed in Syria has started a rare debate back home about the country's increased efforts to prop up President Bashar al-Assad.

In Tehran, where war dead are revered and remembered in giant public murals, newly erected memorials are a sign of the human cost paid by Iran in Syria, amid worries of what is still to come.

Though not comparable to the 1980-1988 war with Iraq - in which hundreds of thousands of Iranians were killed - the Islamic Republic's role in Syrian hotspots such as Aleppo has intensified.

The past two weeks have seen the deaths there of one of Iran's best known generals, Hossein Hamedani, two colonels and nine other members of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC).

The mounting toll has led some to openly question the country's four-year involvement in Syria
The mounting toll has followed the launch of a Russian air campaign that has coincided with an escalation in the ground war.

The confluence of events has for the first time in Iran led some to openly question the country's four-year involvement in Syria, with concerns aired on social media.

"We shouldn't lose our commanders so easily. This is a mistake that we also often made during the imposed war," said one online post following confirmation of the two colonels' deaths, comparing them with those who fell in the conflict against Saddam Hussein.

"The fact that our generals are being martyred shows that they are right in the middle of the battle," another said on Instagram after some of the IRGC deaths emerged via the photo-sharing service.

Iran's ties with Syria are deep - when Assad's late father, Hafez, was president, he sided with Iran against Saddam. Tehran has provided the current leader with military and financial aid against Western- and Gulf-backed rebel fighters since the unrest broke out in 2011.

Diplomatic efforts to end the civil war are stalemated, with Russia and Iran sticking with Assad while the US and Saudi Arabia insist he must agree to step down, even if not immediately.

Many of those taking to social media defend Iran's military action in Syria as necessary to stop the Islamic State group (IS).

But others caution that, were IS to reach Iran's borders, the country's best commanders would no longer be alive to lead the fight.

Giant posters of Hamedani, a veteran of the Iran-Iraq war who had conducted 80 missions in Syria, and others killed there, dominate squares, bridges and other prominent places in Tehran.

Iran says its military role is advisory.

Death toll 'more noticeable'

But as the fighting against the IS and anti-Assad rebel forces has intensified, so has Iran's casualty list grown. It has become impossible for the IRGC to hide its losses.

In an admission of the difficulties, the IRGC's deputy commander gave an extensive interview on state television on Monday night, in what appeared to be an effort to address public concern.

They must visit the scene and get to know the realities on the ground to be able to advise. They cannot sit in rooms and help the Syrian army
- Brigadier General Hossein Salami
"They must visit the scene... and must get to know the realities on the ground in order to be able to advise. They cannot sit in rooms and help the Syrian army," said Brigadier General Hossein Salami.

"Our presence increased in quantity and quality. Our number of martyrs is not high, but compared to before it is more noticeable," he said, conceding that Syria had asked for more help.

No official figures have been given but the number of fighters under Iran's command, ranging from Shia volunteers to Afghans and the Lebanese Hezbollah militia, is estimated at several thousand.

The debate being conducted online in Iran includes many who post comments beneath stories carried by media outlets with close ties to the IRGC, including the Fars news agency.

Many say they are willing to fight in Syria, but others claim they have already done so, describing the difficulties of fighting IS and the need for proper military training.

"As someone who was there for a while I can tell you Syria is not suitable for volunteers," one commenter named Hassan Hadi wrote.

"First you should know Arabic. Second, you should know the ground in its cities, their culture, and you should master the basic principles of urban warfare in the horrible towns of Syria."

Russia's air campaign is seen by many analysts as part of a short-term axis with Iran to turn the civil war and the fight against IS in Assad's favour.

But Amir Mohebbian, a political adviser in Tehran with close ties to the regime, said the latest initiative could only succeed if ground battles were won, hinting Iranian troops could yet end up fighting.

"It is possible. Maybe Syrian troops and militias are enough, maybe not. If we are asked [by Assad] we will have no choice. We have to cut the legs of Daesh," he said, using the Arabic acronym for IS.
 
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